Narrow wins and losses for BJP

 
Seats that I expect that will be won/lost by BJP by a margin lesser than 25,000 votes. I expect 87 seats to be such narrowly contested overall in my population space. Of these 62 are being narrowly won (29% of my overall prediction of BJP's seat tally of 215), and 25 being narrowly lost. I expect average margin of victory in such seats to be about 11,000 and average margin of loss to be about 12,000.

List given below. Believe it or not. I don't have a personal stake in any of them. Hope the relevant people to take notice and work harder.

Narrow wins

Madhya Pradesh: Bhind, Satna, Mandla (N), Ratlam (N), Khargone

Maharashtra: Dhule, Nagpur (N), Gadchiroli (N), Chandrapur, Palghar (N), Pune (N)

Chattisgarh: Bilaspur, Kanker

Karnataka: Gulbarga (N), Bellary, Upudi-Chikmangallur, Tumkur, Chikballur (N)

Bihar: Sitamarhi (N), Madhubani, Siwan (N), Sasaram (N)

Jharkhand: Godda, Lohardaga

UTs + NCR: Andaman/ Nicobar, Dadra/ NH, South Delhi (N)

Rajasthan: Churu, Jhunjhunu (N), Jaipur rural (N), Karauli Dholpur (N), Chittorgarh (N), Rajsamand (N)

Gujarat: Mahesana, Porbandar (N), Jamnagar (N), Amreli, Panchmahal, Bardoli (N)

Haryana: Faridabad (N)

Himachal Pradesh: Kangra

Uttar Pradesh: Lalganj (N), Deoria (N), Akbarpur (N), Faizabad (N), Gonda (N), Mirzapur (N), Varanasi, Amroha (N), Rampur (N), Fatehpur (N), Allahabad (N), Bahraich (N), Fatehpur sikri (N), Aligarh (N), Phoolpur (N), Maharajganj (N), Sitapur (N), Saharanpur (N)

Orissa: Mayurbhanj (N), Balasore (N)

Narrow losses

Madhya Pradesh: Indore (N)

Maharashtra: Bhiwandi

Chattisgarh: Durg (N)

Karnataka: Bidar (N), Davengere (N), Bangalore South

UTs + NCR: West Delhi

Punjab: Amritsar (N)

Rajasthan: Ajmer, Kota

Gujarat: Junagadh (N), Anand, Dahod, Bharuch (N)

Uttaranchal: Tehri Garwhal, Nanital Udhamsingh

Assam: Jorhat

Uttar Pradesh: Basti, Bulandshahr, Robertsganj, Domariyaganj, Nagina, Firozabad, Mohanlalganj, Shahjahanpur

N = seats which are giving effect opposite of the last time. eg. if a seat – Mandla was lost by BJP in the last elections and is being won now, it will have a ‘N’ suffix, and vice versa.