UPA pulls off another one again!

While I remain a staunch opponent of the CONgress led UPA on ethical grounds, I cannot help but wonder at their political finesse. Today, Mamta Banerjee pulled out of the government and media channels are debating on how the CONgress can try and keep power in the government. This is another thing that amazes me, how the mainstream media (MSM) manages to miss the point and not have a genuinely independent thought ever.

What my take is this (and I may be wrong, but atleast its an independent view), the CONgress wants the government to fall. The reason being that it knows that is a very good chance that the government would fall mid-term anyway given the myriad scams and cases filed against senior CONgress ministers and members. In this case, how could the CONgress face the electorate again?! It would be disgraced in front of its electorate and wont be able to ask for votes convincingly.

So what does it do? Its gets its two coalition partners who are also from states where the CONgress has no electoral presence and wont be losing anything. It says to TMC and DMK, that we will take several unpopular decisions that will give you a valid reason to pull the plug on the government. The government will then fall and you can ask for votes next election in your state saying that you are poor friendly and we will ask for votes in other states on the plank of ‘we were reform friendly and allies stopped us’.  I know there is no news on DMK, but this is my assessment that there will be…give it another week or two.

This way the CONgress gets to change the narrative from a government falling under the weight of its own corruption to a brave government that was martyred on the hallowed altar of reforms. MSM which is always catering to the government’s whims and fancies (in the view of some) will be more than glad to support this narrative. As the CONgress Home Minister alluded, they view people as having a shorter memory than goldfish and will then vote for a reform focussed government having forgotten the massive scams that were perpetrated. The TMC and DMK can always join forces with the CONgress after elections and justify their volte face by saying they needed to keep ‘communal’ forces out. J

There cant be any other script in my mind, other than the above, for the following reason:

FDI decisions. The manner in which the decisions were taken suggests that the government never intended to actually pass the Bills at all. In the first place, why were the FDI proposals mooted immediately after the monsoon session of the Lok Sabha was in progress, why not during it? Knowing the opposition of the parties to it, what did the government hope to achieve by these FDI proposals, the benefits of either would be only after years, if any benefits exist at all, so there is no immediate benefit in electoral or fiscal terms. So why risk the ire of its key ally (TMC) without any corresponding benefit that I can see.

TMC response. TMC’s press conference was pretty scathing. Mamta didi covered a lot of ground and has made her position almost non-negotiable. This is very uncharacteristic of a politican. So she has made her mind up to leave, in other words she is in the know that the CONgress is not going to come up with any serious counter proposal. Her statement on readind Friday’s namaz before tendering her resignation and about how Friday is a holy day and even referring to Friday as Jummawar and not Shukrawar is significant and will provide the ‘secular’ underpinning she needs when she joins hands with CONgress again after next general elections, like I said above.

So I conclude, that this is only confirmation for my long held belief that India is heading for a mid-term poll. But I am amazed by the devilish intelligence of the CONgress that it has managed to change vice into virtue and convert the narrative from being a government that fell because of corruption to a government that fell because it was ‘reform oriented’. A confirmation of this theory for me would be DMK breaking away from the Congress at some point soon. I just hope the citizens of India can see through this game plan of the UPA and vote for honesty and not for spin.

 

This is a work of imagination. Just a story, not meant to hurt, judge or insult anyone. Its a point of view that is possibly wrong. So take it with a pinch of salt and dont riot.