My voting % projections for 2014

Long time no see! 

As elections have began in some pace from today, I am putting some more parts of my quant model out in public domain. For about 300-340 seats my model involved making an estimate of the voting %. By plain visually observation, it appears that the BJP benefits from a higher voting %. My vote % expectation is a calculation based on the past trend of voting depth and the top voting % achieved by each constituency. Anyway, here are my workings, over all voting in 2009 in 52.6% and I expect it to go to 58-59%. 

MADHYA PRADESH	2009A	2014E
Morena	53.04	53.04
Bhind	38.39	52.54
Gwalior	41.12	60.43
Guna	54.03	58.78
Sagar	48.12	57.65
Tikamgarh	43.42	43.42
Damoh	44.12	56.51
Khajuraho	43.21	66.83
Satna	54.63	62.09
Rewa	48.34	48.34
Sidhi	49.75	57.43
Shahdol	49.50	57.99
Jabalpur	43.80	55.72
Mandla	56.25	59.72
Balaghat	56.49	66.50
Chhindwara	71.86	71.86
Hoshangabad	54.82	65.10
Vidisha	45.09	57.59
Bhopal	45.07	57.68
Rajgarh	51.57	63.77
Dewas	60.35	60.35
Ujjain	53.25	64.15
Mandsour	55.83	68.39
Ratlam	50.93	54.56
Dhar	54.69	61.43
Indore	50.76	61.25
Khargone	60.18	65.51
Khandwa	60.01	63.65
Betul	49.47	58.03
	51.31	59.66
MAHARASHTRA
Nandurbar	52.64	59.25
Dhule	42.53	50.69
Jalgaon	42.38	54.95
Raver	50.75	50.75
Buldhana	61.72	61.72
Akola	49.91	60.91
Amravati	51.45	57.67
Wardha	54.60	62.97
Ramtek	50.88	50.88
Nagpur	43.44	55.02
Bhandara - gondiya	71.11	71.11
Gadchiroli Chimur	65.14	72.06
Chandrapur	58.48	63.40
Yavatmal Washim	54.06	54.06
Hingoli	59.68	59.68
Nanded	53.83	59.82
Parbhani	54.08	54.08
Jalna	55.89	64.19
Dindori	47.57	56.03
Palghar	48.10	49.05
Bhiwandi	39.39	39.39
Kalyan	34.31	34.31
Thane	41.50	41.50
Mumbai north	42.60	53.33
Mumbai NW	44.06	44.06
Mumbai NE	42.46	52.16
Mumbai NC	39.52	49.38
Mumbai SC	39.50	39.50
Pune	40.66	53.52
Baramati	46.07	60.69
Ahmednagar	51.84	55.37
Beed	65.60	69.01
Latur	54.93	57.32
Solapur	46.62	55.85
Madha	59.04	59.04
	50.18	55.22
CHATTISGARH
Sarguja	61.62	64.28
Raigarh	65.31	68.81
Janjgir Champa	48.57	56.10
Korba	58.41	58.41
Bilaspur	52.28	60.50
Rajnandgaon	58.86	62.70
Durg	55.93	62.16
Raipur	46.99	57.37
Mahasamund	56.69	59.11
Bastar	47.33	52.83
Kanker	57.20	59.96
	55.38	60.20
Karnataka
Chikkodi	67.56	67.56
Belgaum	54.75	55.35
Bagalkot	63.09	63.09
Bijapur	47.29	50.31
Gulbarga	49.21	54.94
Raichur	45.92	59.80
Bidar	52.99	54.46
Koppal	55.40	61.73
Bellary	61.44	65.51
Haveri	63.59	63.59
Dharwad	56.55	58.61
Uttara Kanada	59.09	59.09
Davanagere	67.46	67.46
Shimoga	66.47	66.47
Udupi-chikmanglur	68.22	68.22
Hassan	69.17	69.17
Dakshin Kanada	74.45	74.45
Chitradurga	54.49	54.49
Tumkur	64.80	69.51
Mandya	68.83	68.83
Mysore	58.88	58.88
Chamarajanagar	67.91	67.91
Bangalore rural	57.92	57.92
Banglore N	46.72	46.72
Banglore C	44.55	44.55
Banglore S	44.76	44.76
Chikkballur	68.09	68.09
Kolar	69.15	72.24
	59.60	61.20
Bihar
Valmiki Nagar	46.99	46.99
Paschim Champaran	42.22	42.22
Purvi Champaran	40.61	40.61
Sheohar	45.15	59.63
Sitamarhi	42.54	56.18
Madhubani	39.83	54.12
Araria	55.71	60.54
Kishanganj	52.84	59.18
Katihar	56.95	65.70
Purnia	53.99	59.76
Madhepura	50.15	50.15
Darbhanga	41.75	57.66
Muzaffarpur	46.41	46.41
Gopalganj	37.40	37.40
Siwan	50.05	60.92
Samastipur	44.54	44.54
Bhagalpur	43.89	54.62
Patna sahib	33.64	50.83
Buxar	46.51	55.78
Sasaram	42.70	60.60
Gaya	42.45	55.87
Nawada	41.62	52.81
	45.36	53.29
Jharkhand
Rajmahal	55.21	61.69
Dumka	55.13	60.80
Godda	56.55	56.55
Chatra	45.67	63.26
Kodarma	56.14	58.04
Giridih	45.98	53.40
Dhanbad	45.07	59.27
Ranchi	44.56	59.37
Jamshedpur	51.12	59.02
Singhbhum	60.77	60.77
Khunti	52.03	53.58
Lohardaga	53.42	55.17
Palamau	45.97	45.97
Hazaribagh	53.98	58.04
	51.54	57.50
Union territories + NCT
Chandigarh	65.51	65.87
Andaman Nicobar	64.16	78.36
Dadra/NH	73.23	76.17
Daman/Diu	71.32	72.38
Chandani Chowk	55.21	62.62
NE Delhi	52.38	52.38
East Delhi	53.43	53.43
New Delhi	55.71	55.71
NW Delhi	47.69	47.69
West Delhi	52.39	52.39
S. Delhi	47.41	47.41
Lakshadweep	85.90	85.90
	60.36	62.53
Punjab
Gurdaspur	70.77	70.77
Amritsar	65.63	69.99
Hoshiarpur	64.90	67.22
Ganganagar	60.97	60.97
	65.57	67.24
Rajasthan
Ganganagar	60.97	61.25
Bikaner	41.25	52.29
Churu	52.41	60.45
Jhunjhunu	42.03	54.56
Sikar	48.10	56.60
Jaipur rural	47.54	53.17
Jaipur	48.26	53.53
Alwar	55.54	57.35
Bharatpur	39.02	52.43
Karauli Dholpur	37.38	37.38
Dausa	63.95	63.95
Tonk-Sawai Madhopur	53.12	55.05
Ajmer	52.99	57.07
Nagaur	41.03	53.48
Pali	42.96	50.00
Jodhpur	45.23	51.48
Barmer	54.47	60.47
Jalore	37.98	47.13
Udaipur	48.49	55.14
Banswara	52.79	58.74
Chittorgarh	49.64	59.61
Rajsamand	39.68	39.68
Bhilwara	50.54	56.67
Kota	45.53	55.30
Jhalawar Baran	60.29	60.29
	48.45	54.52
Gujarat
Kachch	42.55	50.46
Banaskantha	49.83	59.82
Patan	44.67	56.03
Mahesana	49.74	61.28
Sabarkantha	29.41	48.02
Gandhinagar	50.83	57.26
Ahmbad East	42.35	54.19
Ahmbad West	48.22	57.13
Surendranagar	39.73	50.83
Rajkot	44.64	49.15
Porbandar	47.67	52.51
Jamnagar	45.79	50.55
Junagadh	57.88	62.11
Amreli	39.97	51.68
Bhavnagar	45.16	51.91
Anand	48.41	58.77
Kheda	41.60	41.60
Panchmahal	42.65	42.65
Dahod	44.73	49.06
Vadodara	49.02	49.02
Chota Udaipur	54.19	58.30
Bharuch	57.14	64.69
Bardoli	57.81	64.61
Surat	49.01	58.92
Navsari	46.66	46.66
Valsad	56.11	56.11
	47.15	53.97
Haryana
Ambala	68.51	73.79
Karnal	66.64	73.20
Sonipat	64.75	70.33
Bhiwani - Mahendra	71.34	71.34
Gurgaon	60.80	60.80
Faridabad	56.66	65.15
	64.78	69.10
Himachal Pradesh
Kangra	55.19	65.10
Mandi	64.09	64.09
Hamirpur	58.55	66.51
Shimla	55.73	64.13
	58.39	64.96
Uttaranchal
Tehri Garwhal	50.38	50.65
Garwhal	48.87	50.84
Almora	45.47	47.68
Nanital Udhamsingh	58.69	59.75
Hardwar	60.89	64.16
	52.86	54.62
Arunachal Pradesh
Arunachal West	65.93	73.48
Arunachal East	71.36	73.17
	68.65	73.32
Assam
Karimganj	64.13	75.41
Silchar	70.37	76.19
Autonomous district	69.40	76.71
Dhubri	76.31	76.31
Kokrajhar	73.65	73.65
Barpeta	72.70	84.14
Gauhati	64.46	64.46
Mangaldoi	69.85	78.80
Tezpur	69.67	76.95
Nowgong	70.85	78.31
Kaliabor	71.24	75.89
Jorhat	64.58	70.02
Dibrugarh	67.29	69.41
Lakhimpur	68.35	74.26
	69.49	75.04
J&K
Udhampur	44.88	51.73
Jammu	49.06	54.19
	46.97	52.96
Uttar Pradesh
Saharanpur	63.25	66.25
Kairana	56.59	63.81
Muzaffarnagar	54.44	65.89
Bijnor	55.01	59.25
Nagina	53.78	53.78
Moradabad	54.82	61.60
Rampur	52.50	62.67
Sambhal	52.83	65.46
Amroha	60.20	64.44
Meerut	48.23	61.97
Baghpat	47.93	66.76
Ghaziabad	45.30	45.30
Gautam Buddh nagar	48.54	48.54
Bulandshahr	45.08	58.95
Aligarh	51.28	60.74
Hathras	45.10	56.90
Mathura	54.15	60.21
Agra	42.03	58.63
Fatehpur sikri	51.56	51.59
Firozabad	48.16	51.21
Mainpuri	49.67	58.32
Etah	44.46	58.05
Badaun	52.45	59.16
Aonla	53.78	55.02
Bareilly	50.36	58.31
Pilibhit	63.96	63.96
Shahjahanpur	48.68	57.56
Kheri	54.59	56.26
Dhaurahra	59.83	59.83
Sitapur	57.31	58.93
Hardoi	40.55	50.08
Unnao	49.73	55.81
Mohanlalganj	46.32	51.55
Lucknow	35.33	48.55
Sultanpur	49.47	49.47
Pratapgarh	44.66	50.39
Farrukhabad	46.78	55.49
Etawah	45.04	59.68
Kannauj	49.32	62.22
Kanpur	36.90	51.93
Akbarpur	43.63	56.44
Jalaun	47.34	57.83
Jhansi	55.17	59.44
Hamirpur	48.40	55.74
Banda	44.71	51.72
Fatehpur	45.19	49.68
Phoolpur	38.71	54.33
Allahabad	43.41	53.04
Barabanki	52.28	52.28
Faizabad	49.94	53.50
Ambedkar Nagar	54.29	54.29
Bahraich	41.12	46.85
Kaiserganj	41.10	55.20
Shrawasti	43.06	43.06
Gonda	45.18	50.97
Domariyaganj	49.21	57.44
Basti	49.26	51.91
Sant kabir Nagar	47.29	47.29
Maharajganj	55.63	61.38
Gorakhpur	44.27	53.50
Kushi Nagar	50.84	50.84
Deoria	45.40	45.40
Bansgaon	39.07	48.49
Lalganj	43.62	50.97
Azamgarh	44.64	53.45
Ghosi	45.23	45.23
Salempur	39.28	39.28
Ballia	40.37	51.26
Jaunpur	45.97	54.34
Machhlishahr	41.00	51.37
Ghazipur	50.43	50.43
Chandauli	46.41	46.41
Varanasi	42.61	42.61
Bhadohi	43.39	43.39
Mirzapur	52.18	60.86
Robertsganj	49.30	53.16
	48.28	54.71
Orissa
Bargarh	69.65	69.65
Sundargarh	61.43	61.43
Sambalpur	64.90	64.90
Keonjhar	70.48	70.48
Mayurbhanj	70.27	70.27
Balasore	70.29	70.29
Bhadrak	67.71	67.71
Jajpur	66.59	66.59
Dhenkanal	66.74	66.74
Bolangir	70.11	70.11
	67.82	67.82
India avg *	52.63	58.12